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Report showed the Bank of England today that the Bank of England still tends to a negative view about the economy, and this was reflected clearly through the contrary to the views of policy makers in the Bank of England when the 2 of them to vote in favor of raising the amount of plan asset purchase program $ 75 billion, while Voice of the seven others to raise $ 50 billion, and this shows that there are people who see that the British economy carries significant risks are deeply influenced by the economic slowdown and international sovereign debt crisis.
On the other hand, today announced that Fitch's Investors Service that it lowered the credit rating of sovereign debt of Greece again, and confirmed that the swap government bonds with the private sector will arrive in the country, an end may be dangerous and makes them unable to meet its obligations and repay debt. The agency noted that the credit rating may reach the level of D after it has been reduced to the level of C from the previous CCC.
For data European Economic Community, it was good to prove to us this day of deepening problems in the economy and its sectors and the prospects it happens really in a recession, and although the recession expected by traders is shallow and not deep recession and expectations were that the previous, except that the subject is still seen as a negative, and so strained confidence in financial markets, despite the granting of a new rescue package Greece II.
Euro against the U.S. dollar
Managed exchange rate euro to rise against the U.S. dollar today, but trading cautious seem clear and obvious, as all trading range today confined within the scope of yesterday's trading, the trading price of the euro against the U.S. dollar today between the price of 1.3210 and 1.3263 dollars one of the euro, and the current trading tend to favor the euro a little, but as we see, trading is very limited scope and that the center of the mixing of a large consensus.
Economic data released today by the European data included the final value of indicators of purchasing managers of industrial and service from Germany and the European Union, and these data showed a contraction in the European sectors and significant weakness in growth in the industrial sector and a decline in the German service sector growth.
Data showed a decline in PMI German Industrial to 50.1 to stand at the edge will soon stop growing, while the same index showed a contraction in the European sector to achieve the outcome of 49.0 points. For the PMI for the services sector, in Germany dropped from 53.7 to 52.6, in Europe and pointed to the shrinking value 49.4 points.
Economic data and tension in the markets of the euro prevents the achievement of a strong bullish wave, but at the same time, there is a class of traders tend to be optimistic in the financial markets after the submission of the green light for Greece using the rescue plans, which may prevent the occurrence of Greece in the bankruptcy.
For technical analysis, there are conditions of many technical negative, the most important stability of trading below resistance level at 1.3200 and the failure of the husband repeatedly in the earlier stabilizing above 1.3320, and and that the momentum indicators show a trend of negativity, which could push the pair lower, but only if the stability of resistors referred to them.
The pound sterling against the U.S. dollar
Sterling received a serious blow after the appearance of the minutes of the meeting of the Bank of England, who pointed to the weakness of the economy and ask members of the bank because the money is raised asset purchase program by more than 50 billion pounds, and this is what caused a sharp decline in the exchange rate of pound sterling today after sufficiency in top at a price of $ 1.5813 per pound to come in contact with him at the minimum price of $ 1.5679.
Trading on the husband, according to technical analysis are negative, and have achieved a fraction of the level of support 1.5760 and 1.5730 support, and this is a negative impact on the spouse and may cause a downward trend to continue and especially that the stochastic still tends to negative. May be related to negative trades in real time stability below the 1.5925 resistance, any trading below this level remains within the negative belief, according to proponents of technical analysis.
For the proponents of fundamental analysis, they point out now is to confirm the weakness of the economy monarchy, and likely to see further stimulus to the British economy to support it and freeing it from the effects of European sovereign debt crisis, and the longer the sovereign debt crisis of Europe and a slowdown in the international economy in general exist, we may see Royal economy needs stimulus, and stimulus is within the policies that weaken the credit facility is usually currency of the country, and this is negative for the pair.
The U.S. dollar against Japanese yen
The price of the U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen today in a very large, and has managed the day the dollar to rise from 79.65 yen, the lowest access to the world of the 80 finally achieving a top at a price of 80.35 yen per U.S. dollar.
Strength of the U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen gained for a variety of reasons, including the tension prevailing in the European equity markets and the Asian and who pays traders to the request of the U.S. dollar at the expense of the Japanese yen, which has become not in favor of traders to use, as well as the weakness of the yen itself in financial markets.
The stability of the pair above 79.75 is considered positive in itself, according to technical analysis classic, Valthbat above this level may cause further bullish trend. However, price stability above 80.20 may be required to demonstrate a positive outlook and the husband to pay for further gains.
We now have data American homes, and these data are expected to show some increase in sales of 4.61 to 6.66 million for the homes of the list, but this means lower growth level of 5.0% to 1.1%, and here may be mixed with the interpretation of these data, and combining this data with the European developments today, we may see the pair sharply and very volatile.
اذا اعجبتك هذه التدوينة فلا تنسى ان تشاركها وتساعدنا على نشر المدونة ، كما يسعدنا ان تنضم الى قائمة المشاركين في سما بلوجر من خلال
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